Yesterday’s loss was the worst loss I’ve experienced in a long, long while. But, it’s been a day… time for me to move on. Looking at the playoff picture and doing some simple math, I started noticing some really strange things.
In the NFC, the Steelers would be the 7th seed. That doesn’t help us with actually making the playoffs (duh), but it’s important to note that ten NFC teams will likely take the top ten spots in the draft. In fact, right now, the Steelers would be picking 16th. Yep. The odds of the Steelers losing out and also getting a “top ten” pick are not very likely.
In the AFC, the Steelers are currently tied for the 8th seed. The bottom half of the AFC isn’t much better than the NFC. So, again, unless we lose out, the odds of us getting a “top ten” pick are not as easy as one would assume.
In three weeks, the Steelers could be the #1 seed in the AFC. Likely: not at all. Possible: yes. In a word: parity.
In three weeks, the Steelers could be the #14 seed in the AFC. Likely: not really. Possible: yes. It still wouldn’t get us into the “top ten”… because, we’d still be the #7 seed in the NFC. (The NFC is really, really bad this season.)
If things play out correctly this weekend, the Steelers could be the #6 seed in the AFC. As putrid as the three past games have been (tie, heartbreaking loss, getting mud stomped), the Steelers are right in the thick of things in the playoff race.
SUMMATION:
The Steelers aren’t getting a “top ten” pick. The last playoff team will be picking 19th… and the Steelers are currently picking 16th, which isn’t a vast difference in slotting. The crazy way that the NFL is this year, if the Steelers can get into the playoffs, they have a chance to do some damage. Really. This season’s championship is going to come down to which team is a) healthiest, and b) playing the hottest.
In other words, the odds are better to get into the playoffs and make a run (than they are that we get a “top ten” pick). So, we might as well hope to win out… at least, I know that’s what I’m hoping to see happen.