Break out the bubble wrap.
Who causes turnovers? If they can be about +8 or more, they make playoffs.
Hope you are right. Turnover +/- is just so closely tied to playoff success. Last several SB participants and winners were all +6 or more in this stat. Extend it to playoff participants, and it is even stronger.
In my opinion, this stat is one of the most important stats for predicting and explaining wins and losses in the NFL. Get over about +6 or so, and you will be a playoff team more seasons than not. Get double digits in the + column, you are going on a deep playoff run.
Agree...Last year the steelers was at -11...Only + 2 in 2017,even if the steelers was at 13-3
Our best season since 2011 was at only + 5 in 2016...Our last super bowl team were at +17 in 2010
I do not want a team that rely too much on turnovers, but we must at least be in the positive, since the yards in defense and especially in offense have never been a problem for the steelers.
I agree with you mostly. Just have a different opinion on our DL depth. I think Alualu and Hargrave are as good backups as you will find and not much of a dropoff if any. Buggs will play well here, IMO. I got to see way too much Alabama games this past season and he impressed. I'm a bit surprised he wasn't drafted sooner. That puts the DL at 5 quality players by my count and a strength to this defense. Just saying I don't think we would be "screwed" necessarily.
The safety position is scarily unknown today. Davis, Edmunds, Barron, Allen, Dangerfield, and a group of UDFAs. I'm not seeing the improvement at this point.
OLB at least has Watt. Ola is supposed to be a pass rush specialist. Bud will be good for 5-6 sacks. Sutton Smith better translate to the NFL or this could again be a weakness.
If Butler would not put a LB on a WR it would help!
We already know how the 2018 defense did. Do you see any improvements headed into 2019? I do. FIRST Bush is exactly the guy they wanted and they got him. (+1) Nelson to replace burns at RCB. (+1) Justin Layne!(+1) Burnett and Bostic were both upgraded this offseason.(+1)
Today our starting CBs look like Haden and Nelson with Hilton in the slot. Backups look like Layne, Sutton, and Burns/Allen. I see this as improvement.
The DL is still the strength of this defense.
VW and Bush at ILB is better than VW and anyone else on the roster from 2018 at ILB.
OLB will hopefully have added 2 pass rush specialists to the room with Ola and Smith. Hype=production added to TJ Watt is a lot of fun.
The safety group is the only place I see no improvement over last season other than Davis in year 2 at FS is a positive, as well as Edmunds in year 2 is hopefully a positive also. Barron can only add experience to this room so that too is a positive. Marcus Allen could be the happy surprise we've been waiting on, OR maybe somebody else gets brought in FA this offseason.
Have to say I think the defense is looking better headed into the 2019 preseason than what we left 2018 with. Honestly.
The stats were usually deceiving as well. We would look pretty good on paper in terms of stats but both Lebeau and Butler's teams spent the better part of the last 7 years folding and giving up points at the end of each half when they used to be good at shutting teams down that were forced to be one dimensional. The only stat I care about anymore is how many points they give up at the end of the day. Even with the current state of the game there are usually 7-9 teams each year that average giving up under 20 points a game with the top 3-4 teams getting lower still. Just get back to that and I'd be happy. That gives us a chance to win.
Edmunds, Nelson, Davis, Bush, Haden. SOmeone from that group has to emerge and start generating turnovers. Low points per game are awesome. But I just looked at the list from the past 3 seasons. Lots of defenses that don’t give up points, but also didn’t make the playoffs. The list of high + on the turnover ratio rankings and you are just staring playoff and SB participants.
Edmunds, Davis, Haden, and Nelson all have the tools to generate turnovers. Just have to make it happen.
Remember,the steelers had 4 interceptions in the first 3 games of the 2018 season.....Only 4 others interceptions for the rest of the season in 13 games.
A lot depends on the coaching. If the coaching remains the same then expect a poor defense.
Hater = Realist
I still think that Teryl Austin will have an impact on the number of INT and forced fumbles that the Secondary generates this season. Look for them to increase.
Now, if we can also reduce the amount of turnovers on the offensive side of the ball, then the differential will improve substantially.