Originally Posted by
Craic
"Same chance of winning" was my question. Since 2005, the QBs that have won outside of Ben are Peyton and Eli Manning, Drew Brees, Aaron Rodgers, Flacco, Russell Wilson, Tom Brady, and Nick Foles. Peyton Manning is no longer playing. I doubt anyone here would argue Flacco or Foles is as good as Ben. So, that leaves us with four QBs.
But, let's go with your easier hurdle of getting to the SB. Now, we have the above list plus Hasselbeck, Grossman, Warner, Kaepernick, Newton, and Matt Ryan. So, only six more QBs in total, but Hasselbeck, Grossman, and Warner are no longer playing. I also doubt anyone would argue Kaepernick comes close to Ben. So, that leaves two.
Thus, same chance of winning a SB? Your answer is four other QBs. Same chance of getting there? Your answer is six other QBs. Both are a long way from 10-12.