Originally Posted by
steelreserve
Didn't we start out playing some man coverage, or at least playing the receivers tighter, and then abandoned it because we thought it wasn't working? Sounds like it was working better than whatever other bullshit we switched to.
I also think that when you have the game well in hand, you tend to score a bit less than you would if you continued to go all-out for points. Not because you're being altruistic or whatnot, but because you play safer, which is a tactically sound decision to tilt the odds further in your favor. (unless taken to extremes, which unfortunately you also see a lot of)
I think the offense would've needed a lot more possessions to score 40 points. Basically, the offense needed to play better and the defense needed to play better. I think that's a lot more realistic path to victory than saying we could beat them with the same defense just by playing better offense. That game really was like ... if we made a game of it, they would've simply scored another touchdown on the next possession, because we couldn't stop shit. But we didn't make a game of it with our offense, so they didn't have to even do anything more than coast.
And why did the Falcons' offense hardly run any plays in the second half? Because Tom Brady stopped them, or because the Patriots' defense stopped them?
That's why time of possession is misleading. It's an important indicator, but people think it's all because of your offense and it's not. Getting a three-and-out does just as much if not more to swing that in your favor, and by extension, wear out the opposing defense. Your offense can't stop the other offense from making a long scoring drive. A lopsided time of possession in your favor usually means you're just dominating the game in general.
This is not to disagree with the rest of what you said, by the way. That particular game was going to be very difficult for us to win, for exactly the reasons you pointed out. I think the man-coverage argument is only that by playing the defense we did, we took it from a 10-15% chance of winning to no chance at all.