Originally Posted by
Preacher
Let me start by first saying, as I showed below (using, since you claimed it didn't apply, "scientific logic") there's a 99.95 percent chance you're wrong, but hold on to that .05% as long as needed.
Now on to the rest of the post. The PATTERN DIDN'T START until 2001. I mean, seriously, you do understand what a "pattern" is? The question isn't "why aren't you adding in those years" the question is, "what changed coming into that year, or the previous year that may have precipitated that pattern.There's at least four options off the top of my head.
1. New stadium. Not sure if it has anything to do with it. Type of field? Doubt it. But can't throw this out yet.
2. Kevin Colbert became GM in 2000. He's responsible for football decisions. Maybe a pattern's developed due to the way he handles contracts?
3. Moved into UMPC training center in August of 2000. Something to do the field there? Fatiguing of the bodies that builds up over a couple years?
4. A combination of these? Something else thrown into the mix?
So keep deriding instead of engaging. Calling something "Magical," "mysterious mojo," and "superstition," doesn't negate facts, and the FACTS are that the pattern IS NOT REPEATABLE in any credible way that can be ascribed to being random or chance. Thus, there's a reason for it.
What happens if they make the playoffs this year? Nothing. According to you, me, and quite a few others, they don't deserve to make them this year because they are a BAD team. They fall within the 03, 06, 09 category of teams instead of the other categories. What happens if they don't make it next year? Nothing, except that the question I'll be asking is "What broke the cycle."
And that answers the next asinine question and I'm sorry, but it really is asinine. No, of course I won't bet on it, because I don't know what is happening in the Steelers organization to cause it. Since that's the case, I also don't know if they will make a change that unknowningly affects whatever is causing this pattern. It's not voodoo or the gods screwing around with the Steelers. It's a specific set of decisions or a philosophy that came about in 1999-2001 that has affected this team ever since.
Or, is 99.95 percent chance of non-randomness not enough for you? Because it's enough across the entire spectrum of statistical analysis. So... then the question is:
Do YOU think it is some kind of magical, superstitious, mysterious mojo that is making us have a bad season after two good seasons since 2001? Or do you then agree there's a pattern created by decisions/philosophy that appeared in 99-01? Because there aren't any other options - since 99.95% chance of not being random means . . . well, it's NOT random.
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