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View Full Version : Your 1st round playoff odds for an Upset.



thesteelerdealer
12-31-2014, 11:50 PM
Okay, I know every year that at least one, or two Home teams lose in the 1st round. Last year 3 out of the 4 Home teams lost, and the Colts who won at home barely won over KC. So I thought I would ask, giving a % figure, what team has the best chance to pull a Road upset ? My picks are as follows.....




1) Cincy 50 %: Yeah I know, it's the Bengals, and haven't ever won a playoff game with Coach Lewis. However, of all the playoff teams I feel the Colts are struggling most. They are crippled and staggering. And they have No run offense to speak of, and their Run Defense is bad as well. And Cincy does have a Hot RB right now in Hill. So I give them a 50 % chance at pulling the upset.



2) Detroit, 40 %: Yes that's right. I'm going against Americas DARLINGS the Dallas Cowboys. Dallas has struggled at home all season....except for a couple of games. And everything they do starts with their running game. But Detroit gets back their " Cheap Shot " artist in Suh, and he IS very Important to the Lions # 1 Ranked Run Defense. If they contain Murray, then the game will rest on the BACK.....No Pun Intended of Tony Romo. And I'm sure that at some point " Suh " will ACCIDENTALLY Step on Romo's Back while he's on the ground..( Although I doubt that Suh can use his...My feet were Numb and couldn't feel I was stepping on anyone excuse. Not in Dallas ):dance: But with that said, I still give Detroit a 40 % chance at winning in Big D.



3) Baltimore, 30 %: Yes fans, sorry to say but I think the Ravens have a solid 30 % chance at winning in Pittsburgh. This game will come down to many elements that could swing the game in either teams favor. A TO's because of the wet weather. Can't establish a solid ground game, Injuries, whatever. But The Ratbirds do have a chance steeler fans....and I place it at 30 %


4) Arizona, 5 %: That's right. Who would have thought out of all the 1st round teams that CAROLINA will have the best chance to win at Home. I mean they're healthy, streaking, and have a solid Defense that has righted itself. And face it, a Arizona team with a 3rd string QB has next to no chance....well maybe 5 % chance..at winning in Carolina.



So anyways Steeler fans, those are my percentage chances....what say all of you ?

Psycho Ward 86
01-01-2015, 12:08 AM
Detroit has the best chance now that Suh is back because well, Tony Romo in January, enough said. After that, the Cardinals as long as they have Drew Stanton.

Im not even giving Cincy a chance. Cincy will continue their epic meltdown. Luck's bad patches arent going to continue. I'm amazed that people still doubt him, especially steeler fans after the balls he showed earlier in the year. The kid has gotten beaten up worse than any QB since he was drafted and still excels. Most comeback wins in the NFL since he was drafted as well. Blowout potential here.

thesteelerdealer
01-01-2015, 12:22 AM
Detroit has the best chance now that Suh is back because well, Tony Romo in January, enough said. After that, the Cardinals as long as they have Drew Stanton.

Im not even giving Cincy a chance. Cincy will continue their epic meltdown. Luck's bad patches arent going to continue. I'm amazed that people still doubt him, especially steeler fans after the balls he showed earlier in the year. The kid has gotten beaten up worse than any QB since he was drafted and still excels. Most comeback wins in the NFL since he was drafted as well. Blowout potential here.




PW86: Nobody is doubting Luck's talent. But he can't do it alone. And bottom line, TY Hilton is banged up, and Reggie Wayne is as well. And Indy has zero running game, and last time I checked...Andrew Luck doesn't play Defense. Yes, I know the Bunglas haven't won a playoff game. But playing on the road I feel totally takes off any pressure that the Bengals would have had if they were hosting Baltimore this weekend. I mean really...ALL the pressure is on Indy. And they are...as I said...staggering to the finish line.

one side only
01-01-2015, 12:28 AM
Cincy has no chance if A.J. Green doesn't play. Indy has too many offensive weapons, but Luck has to be careful with the football.

Matthew Stafford has not won a playoff game. The Lions should shred the Cowboys secondary, but they won't. Dallas in a close one.

Hard to be objective about the Steelers. Steelers are playing well; the Ravens stumbled in their last four games. Steelers win big.

I think the Cardinals are better than the Panthers, especially on defense. I think Arians figures out a way to win.

I believe home teams are 9-3 in the wild card round over the past three years. I'm going with the home team in 3 of the 4 games this year.

thesteelerdealer
01-01-2015, 12:45 AM
Cincy has no chance if A.J. Green doesn't play. Indy has too many offensive weapons, but Luck has to be careful with the football.

Matthew Stafford has not won a playoff game. The Lions should shred the Cowboys secondary, but they won't. Dallas in a close one.

Hard to be objective about the Steelers. Steelers are playing well; the Ravens stumbled in their last four games. Steelers win big.

I think the Cardinals are better than the Panthers, especially on defense. I think Arians figures out a way to win.

I believe home teams are 9-3 in the wild card round over the past three years. I'm going with the home team in 3 of the 4 games this year.




Green will play, no doubt about that. His arm is fine now. And his concussion will be okay as well. No way he doesn't play.

smokin3000gt
01-01-2015, 02:01 AM
I think I would put the ravens at 30-40%. Records, injuries, and stats be damned, when these two teams go against each other, it's all out and always close with a FG, turn over, or bad calls being the difference. Everyone shows up to play. Although if we can get a run game going with Harris and Tate the scale will tip considerably in our favor. Regardless it's going to be a slug fest and the best game of the weekend.

As far as the Romo is concerned, I know his choke record but I think he's a better QB now then he was. He's starting to settle down and has more than a few years under his belt. As much as I would hate to see it, I wouldn't be surprised for them to [finally] eek out a couple wins in the post season ultimately losing to the seagulls and loudmouth sherman.

tube517
01-01-2015, 02:12 AM
I think Arizona will keep it close but ultimately lose to Carolina. I think the Brokebacks beat the Lions but lose in the divisional round to GB. I still hope Romosimpson chokes on Sunday. Indy will beat Cincy by a TD. Rats-Steelers will be another slugfest.

thesteelerdealer
01-01-2015, 02:28 AM
Colts place right tackle Cherilus on injured reserve







Dec


31



12/31/2014 5:48:41 PM

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The Indianapolis Colts placed starting right tackle Gosder Cherilus on injured reserve Wednesday, four days before their playoff opener against Cincinnati, the Associated Press (http://pro32.ap.org/article/colts-cherilus-ends-season-injured-reserve) reports.

Cherilus had been one of Indianapolis' most consistent run blockers and pass protectors until dealing with a series of injuries. The most recent, a groin injury, ends Cherilus' season and leaves a major hole on the offensive line heading into Sunday's wild-card game.

Indy (11-5) replaced Cherilus with Xavier Nixon at Dallas, then moved left guard Jack Mewhort to right tackle for the regular-season finale at Tennessee. Moving Mewhort also forced Indy to insert backup center A.Q. Shipley at left guard.

Moose
01-01-2015, 06:46 AM
Indy is 11-5 but look at who their win's were. I think Luck will struggle and I really don't know if they have enough to stop the bungholes running game. I hate to see the bungholes win, I'll be rooting for Indy, but this is gonna be a tough one to predict. Same as our game Saturday night. Depends on what Steeler team comes out of the tunnel. Both games could easily be won by road teams.

polamalubeast
01-01-2015, 10:24 AM
I think the Colts will win, but that's only because the Bengals are horrible in big games, especially Dalton.Otherwise, the Colts are a very average team and Luck is still very young and he made several mistakes.

I do not see the Lions beat the Cowboys.Stafford is 0-16 on the road against teams with a winning record in his career